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Automatic Data Processing – Great Company, Lofty Valuation

Summary ADP reported Q3 results May 2 in which it announced an upward revision in its FY2018 outlook.’ At the June 12th Investor Day, ADP indicated it is accelerating the pace of margin expansion and it now targets its prior 3 year margin targets to occur one year sooner. The anticipated increase in interest rates [...]

By |June 13th, 2018|Equity Investing|Comments Off on Automatic Data Processing – Great Company, Lofty Valuation

The J.M. Smucker Company – Priced Right But I Am Not Adding to My Position

The J.M. Smucker Company  is facing headwinds. Revenue growth and profit margins are expected to remain under pressure amid a competitive environment and challenging retailer dynamics. The stock price has dropped ~18.5% from recent highs and in this article I look at whether SJM currently presents an attractive buying opportunity. Summary SJM is facing headwinds [...]

By |June 12th, 2018|General Investing|Comments Off on The J.M. Smucker Company – Priced Right But I Am Not Adding to My Position

The J.M. Smucker Company – Priced Right But I Am Not Adding to My Position

Summary SJM is facing headwinds and revenue growth and profit margins are expected to remain under pressure amid a competitive environment and challenging retailer dynamics. SJM is currently exploring the divestiture of its US baking business and a sale of this business will likely impact FY2019 projections. Shareholders have been aptly rewarded over the long-term [...]

By |June 12th, 2018|Equity Investing|Comments Off on The J.M. Smucker Company – Priced Right But I Am Not Adding to My Position

Cummins Inc. – Tempting But I Will Pass For Now

Cummins has pulled back ~26% from its $194 high set in late January 2018. This analysis looks at whether CMI would be an attractive addition to the FFJ Portfolio. Summary Cummins has retraced ~26% from a high of ~$194 set at the end of January 2018. The company is forecasting strong revenue growth but warranty [...]

By |June 11th, 2018|General Investing|Comments Off on Cummins Inc. – Tempting But I Will Pass For Now

Cummins Inc. – Tempting But I Will Pass For Now

Summary Cummins has retraced ~26% from a high of ~$194 set at the end of January 2018. The company is forecasting strong revenue growth but warranty costs are taking a bite out of profits and further significant charges (~$400 million) are possible. CMI’s 15+ year returns greatly exceed that of the S&P500. While CMI has [...]

By |June 11th, 2018|Equity Investing|Comments Off on Cummins Inc. – Tempting But I Will Pass For Now

The Importance of Positive Personal Free Cash Flow

I can not stress enough as to the importance of personally being in a positive free cash flow position. This article provides tips on how to achieve and remain in this state. Introduction Recent statistics show the consumer credit debt of households and non-profit organizations in the US amounted to ~$3.74T in Q3 2017. Judging [...]

By |June 8th, 2018|Budgeting and Debt|Comments Off on The Importance of Positive Personal Free Cash Flow

Hershey – Beaten Down….Sweet!

Summary Hershey’s current valuation is similar to that evidenced in FY2009 at which time we were experiencing that ‘little event’ called The Financial Crisis. HSY is unlikely to appeal to investors seeking companies with ‘high octane’ growth. The company’s dividend yield and valuation are at levels not evidenced in several years. I currently have a [...]

By |June 6th, 2018|Equity Investing|Comments Off on Hershey – Beaten Down….Sweet!

Hershey – Beaten Down….Sweet!

HSY has retraced further subsequent to my February 3, 2018 article.  In this article I share my thoughts on HSY's current valuation. Summary Hershey’s current valuation is similar to that evidenced in FY2009 at which time we were experiencing that ‘little event’ called The Financial Crisis. HSY is unlikely to appeal to investors seeking companies [...]

By |June 6th, 2018|General Investing|Comments Off on Hershey – Beaten Down….Sweet!

What to Invest In? – Open Your Wallet

If you're struggling to find decent companies in which to invest look no further than these two companies. They might be a bit rich at the moment but put them on your radar so you can take action if they pullback. I am often astounded to learn of some of the companies in which people [...]

By |June 4th, 2018|General Investing|Comments Off on What to Invest In? – Open Your Wallet

Really Embrace Lower Stock Prices

Many investors root for higher stock prices. If you are a long-term investor, however, you should really embrace lower stock prices if the lower prices are not a result of a permanent impairment to the company. I recognize why, if you are a short-term ‘investor’, you get excited when a company’s stock price in which [...]

By |June 3rd, 2018|General Investing|Comments Off on Really Embrace Lower Stock Prices